Open - RTH Condor - 80-85, 95-100

Written on July 24, 2008 by OptionsRopeaDope

RTH has been good to me lately on the calendar side of the house, giving up a couple of 20%+ months in a row. However, RTH is one of the few symbols where IV is actually near the top end of the IV scale. Sticking to what should work theoretically, I chose to open a narrow condor here (at least, narrower than I normally would). See the risk graph below.

Also, to neutralie the deltas I purchased an additional lower put for every 5 that I sold of the next highest strike. For example:

6 - long 80 puts

5 - short 85 puts

skip 90

5 - short 95 puts

5 - long 95 puts

This gives me some nice protection to the downside that came i handy today. I chose to open this as a debit condor.

Symbol  RTH 
Current Price  88.09
Current IV  29
IV Percentile - last 12 months  75
IV Percentile - last 6 months  75
Technical Support/Resistance  84.60, 94
Opening Strikes  80-85, 95-100
Deltas of Shorts 26, 20 (high!)
% distances from underlying 5.5% each way
Opening Debits 3.83 (includes 1/5 of an extra 80 put) 
Initial Margin Req. 0
Break Evens  83.80, 96.20
Srikes w/current delta of 20/-20  n/a (low prob condor)
Prob of expiring w/o adjustments  60%
Profit Traget  4.29 (12%)
Max Loss  3.25 (15%)
Earnings/news catalyst before exp?  WMT earnings (14 aug)
Risk Graph  

rthcondor.jpg

I only plan to stay in this trade 2 weeks max, and shooting for a 12% gain.

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